Trader consensus favors Jay Feely at 71% implied probability to win Arizona's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, propelled by his early Trump endorsement and a fresh allegation that rival Joseph Chaplik made a racist remark about Feely's adopted sons, publicized May 13 amid the campaign's closing stretch. Chaplik, a state representative with local roots, sits at 25.4% despite leading a late-April NextGen poll 24%-15% over Feely among decided voters, where 54% remained undecided; high uncertainty persists with no post-May surveys. Chaplik skipped a May 5 televised debate featuring Feely and John Trobough, intensifying attacks labeling Feely a carpetbagger. The open seat after David Schweikert draws a crowded field, but others trail far behind.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng sơ bộ của đảng Cộng hòa AZ-01
Người chiến thắng sơ bộ của đảng Cộng hòa AZ-01
Jay Feely 71%
Joseph Chaplik 26.8%
Jason Duey 1.4%
Matt Gress <1%
$404,518 KL.
$404,518 KL.
Jay Feely
71%
Joseph Chaplik
27%
Jason Duey
1%
Matt Gress
1%
John Trobough
<1%
Kaitlin Purrington
<1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
Todd Graham
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Gina Swoboda
<1%
Mark Brnovich
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
Jay Feely 71%
Joseph Chaplik 26.8%
Jason Duey 1.4%
Matt Gress <1%
$404,518 KL.
$404,518 KL.
Jay Feely
71%
Joseph Chaplik
27%
Jason Duey
1%
Matt Gress
1%
John Trobough
<1%
Kaitlin Purrington
<1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
Todd Graham
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Gina Swoboda
<1%
Mark Brnovich
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Jay Feely at 71% implied probability to win Arizona's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, propelled by his early Trump endorsement and a fresh allegation that rival Joseph Chaplik made a racist remark about Feely's adopted sons, publicized May 13 amid the campaign's closing stretch. Chaplik, a state representative with local roots, sits at 25.4% despite leading a late-April NextGen poll 24%-15% over Feely among decided voters, where 54% remained undecided; high uncertainty persists with no post-May surveys. Chaplik skipped a May 5 televised debate featuring Feely and John Trobough, intensifying attacks labeling Feely a carpetbagger. The open seat after David Schweikert draws a crowded field, but others trail far behind.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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