Recent submission of 1.55 million signatures for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act initiative—nearly double the 875,000 required—has positioned the one-time 5 percent wealth tax measure for likely inclusion on California's November ballot. Proponents, including SEIU United Healthcare Workers West, advanced the proposal to offset federal funding reductions in healthcare, education, and food assistance programs, targeting roughly 200 state residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026. Opposition from Governor Newsom and some legislative leaders has centered on potential residency shifts and revenue effects, yet the verified signature volume and procedural timeline through June certification sustain trader consensus around an 87.5 percent implied probability of ballot qualification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$130,590 KL.
$130,590 KL.
Jun 25, 2026
$130,590 KL.
$130,590 KL.
Jun 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Recent submission of 1.55 million signatures for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act initiative—nearly double the 875,000 required—has positioned the one-time 5 percent wealth tax measure for likely inclusion on California's November ballot. Proponents, including SEIU United Healthcare Workers West, advanced the proposal to offset federal funding reductions in healthcare, education, and food assistance programs, targeting roughly 200 state residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026. Opposition from Governor Newsom and some legislative leaders has centered on potential residency shifts and revenue effects, yet the verified signature volume and procedural timeline through June certification sustain trader consensus around an 87.5 percent implied probability of ballot qualification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Thị trường mở: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$130,590Ngày kết thúc
Jun 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Recent submission of 1.55 million signatures for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act initiative—nearly double the 875,000 required—has positioned the one-time 5 percent wealth tax measure for likely inclusion on California's November ballot. Proponents, including SEIU United Healthcare Workers West, advanced the proposal to offset federal funding reductions in healthcare, education, and food assistance programs, targeting roughly 200 state residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026. Opposition from Governor Newsom and some legislative leaders has centered on potential residency shifts and revenue effects, yet the verified signature volume and procedural timeline through June certification sustain trader consensus around an 87.5 percent implied probability of ballot qualification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Khối lượng
$130,590Ngày kết thúc
Jun 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent submission of 1.55 million signatures for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act initiative—nearly double the 875,000 required—has positioned the one-time 5 percent wealth tax measure for likely inclusion on California's November ballot. Proponents, including SEIU United Healthcare Workers West, advanced the proposal to offset federal funding reductions in healthcare, education, and food assistance programs, targeting roughly 200 state residents with net worth above $1 billion as of January 1, 2026. Opposition from Governor Newsom and some legislative leaders has centered on potential residency shifts and revenue effects, yet the verified signature volume and procedural timeline through June certification sustain trader consensus around an 87.5 percent implied probability of ballot qualification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp