Resilient U.S. economic growth, stable labor markets, and inflation remaining elevated near 3.4-3.5% have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% through the July 2026 FOMC meeting, with futures now pricing possible hikes rather than easing by year-end. Traders view these conditions as eliminating near-term recession or crisis risks that would necessitate an unscheduled emergency cut before 2027, consistent with the 92.5% market-implied probability on "No." Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC decisions and fresh CPI data. While consensus is firm, a sharp downturn from geopolitical shocks or rapid disinflation could still alter the path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
8% khả năng
$138,951 KL.
$138,951 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
8% khả năng
$138,951 KL.
$138,951 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Resilient U.S. economic growth, stable labor markets, and inflation remaining elevated near 3.4-3.5% have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% through the July 2026 FOMC meeting, with futures now pricing possible hikes rather than easing by year-end. Traders view these conditions as eliminating near-term recession or crisis risks that would necessitate an unscheduled emergency cut before 2027, consistent with the 92.5% market-implied probability on "No." Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC decisions and fresh CPI data. While consensus is firm, a sharp downturn from geopolitical shocks or rapid disinflation could still alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$138,951Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Resilient U.S. economic growth, stable labor markets, and inflation remaining elevated near 3.4-3.5% have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% through the July 2026 FOMC meeting, with futures now pricing possible hikes rather than easing by year-end. Traders view these conditions as eliminating near-term recession or crisis risks that would necessitate an unscheduled emergency cut before 2027, consistent with the 92.5% market-implied probability on "No." Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC decisions and fresh CPI data. While consensus is firm, a sharp downturn from geopolitical shocks or rapid disinflation could still alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Khối lượng
$138,951Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resilient U.S. economic growth, stable labor markets, and inflation remaining elevated near 3.4-3.5% have anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% through the July 2026 FOMC meeting, with futures now pricing possible hikes rather than easing by year-end. Traders view these conditions as eliminating near-term recession or crisis risks that would necessitate an unscheduled emergency cut before 2027, consistent with the 92.5% market-implied probability on "No." Key upcoming catalysts include September FOMC decisions and fresh CPI data. While consensus is firm, a sharp downturn from geopolitical shocks or rapid disinflation could still alter the path.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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