The frontrunner status of Fernando Dias da Costa in Guinea-Bissau's December 2026 presidential election reflects his leading 49.4 percent share in the annulled November 2025 vote, where he narrowly outpaced incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló before a military coup halted results and installed a transitional junta. This prior performance under the PAI-Terra Ranka alliance gives him the clearest established base in a crowded field, while independent Siga Batista has risen on momentum despite minimal prior support. The junta's decree scheduling the redo under ECOWAS pressure for constitutional order, alongside April reports of political violence, underscores transition uncertainties that sustain trader focus on these dynamics without major recent shifts altering the positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGuinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa 50.7%
Siga Batista 39.8%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa 4.5%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló 2.8%
$311,972 KL.
$311,972 KL.
Fernando Dias da Costa
51%
Siga Batista
23%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
5%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
3%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
José Mário Vaz
2%
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
1%
João Bernardo Vieira
1%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
1%
João de Deus Mendes
1%
Baciro Djá
<1%
Fernando Dias da Costa 50.7%
Siga Batista 39.8%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa 4.5%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló 2.8%
$311,972 KL.
$311,972 KL.
Fernando Dias da Costa
51%
Siga Batista
23%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
5%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
3%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
José Mário Vaz
2%
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
1%
João Bernardo Vieira
1%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
1%
João de Deus Mendes
1%
Baciro Djá
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Thị trường mở: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The frontrunner status of Fernando Dias da Costa in Guinea-Bissau's December 2026 presidential election reflects his leading 49.4 percent share in the annulled November 2025 vote, where he narrowly outpaced incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló before a military coup halted results and installed a transitional junta. This prior performance under the PAI-Terra Ranka alliance gives him the clearest established base in a crowded field, while independent Siga Batista has risen on momentum despite minimal prior support. The junta's decree scheduling the redo under ECOWAS pressure for constitutional order, alongside April reports of political violence, underscores transition uncertainties that sustain trader focus on these dynamics without major recent shifts altering the positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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