European meteorological models, including consensus guidance from agencies like the Met Office and KNMI, indicate a maximum of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following the recent heatwave. This positions 25°C as the leading outcome at 52% implied probability, with 24°C at 19.5% and 26°C at 21.5% reflecting tight short-range uncertainty driven by variables such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat island effects that can alter final observations by 1–2°C. No significant model divergence appears in latest runs, keeping trader sentiment clustered around these values while acknowledging inherent forecast variability near resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
25°C 52%
26°C 23%
24°C 21%
23°C 2.6%
$36,067 KL.
$36,067 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
21%
25°C
52%
26°C
23%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 52%
26°C 23%
24°C 21%
23°C 2.6%
$36,067 KL.
$36,067 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
21%
25°C
52%
26°C
23%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...European meteorological models, including consensus guidance from agencies like the Met Office and KNMI, indicate a maximum of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following the recent heatwave. This positions 25°C as the leading outcome at 52% implied probability, with 24°C at 19.5% and 26°C at 21.5% reflecting tight short-range uncertainty driven by variables such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat island effects that can alter final observations by 1–2°C. No significant model divergence appears in latest runs, keeping trader sentiment clustered around these values while acknowledging inherent forecast variability near resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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