Recent forecasts from the KNMI and European models indicate moderating temperatures for Amsterdam on August 6, with a high near 20–22°C driven by a westerly breeze advecting cooler North Sea air following the early-August heatwave that produced 28–36°C readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for further warming under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, keeping the daily maximum within the narrow 19–23°C band that accounts for over 95% of market-implied probability. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide climatological context, while resolution depends on official KNMI observations at the main station. Updated model runs and the final observation tomorrow will determine the exact outcome among the clustered leading contracts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 6?
21°C 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 22%
19°C 4%
$19,101 KL.
$19,101 KL.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
22%
21°C
42%
22°C
31%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 22%
19°C 4%
$19,101 KL.
$19,101 KL.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
22%
21°C
42%
22°C
31%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the KNMI and European models indicate moderating temperatures for Amsterdam on August 6, with a high near 20–22°C driven by a westerly breeze advecting cooler North Sea air following the early-August heatwave that produced 28–36°C readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for further warming under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, keeping the daily maximum within the narrow 19–23°C band that accounts for over 95% of market-implied probability. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide climatological context, while resolution depends on official KNMI observations at the main station. Updated model runs and the final observation tomorrow will determine the exact outcome among the clustered leading contracts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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