Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources point to a peak near 32–33°C in Ankara on August 5 under persistent summer high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or advection. This aligns with Ankara’s continental climate, where August averages reach about 31–32°C and recent days have shown similar stable conditions without heatwave anomalies. Trader positioning heavily favors 32°C (50%) and 33°C (34.5%) because these outcomes match ensemble consensus and historical analogs for early-August maxima, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid shifts in upper-level patterns or measurement revisions at official stations. Updated model runs and the day’s final observation will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 5?
32°C 49%
33°C 40%
31°C 5%
30°C <1%
$24,168 KL.
$24,168 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
52%
33°C
40%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 49%
33°C 40%
31°C 5%
30°C <1%
$24,168 KL.
$24,168 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
52%
33°C
40%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources point to a peak near 32–33°C in Ankara on August 5 under persistent summer high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating without significant cloud cover or advection. This aligns with Ankara’s continental climate, where August averages reach about 31–32°C and recent days have shown similar stable conditions without heatwave anomalies. Trader positioning heavily favors 32°C (50%) and 33°C (34.5%) because these outcomes match ensemble consensus and historical analogs for early-August maxima, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid shifts in upper-level patterns or measurement revisions at official stations. Updated model runs and the day’s final observation will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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