Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles show Ankara under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum of 32–33°C on August 6. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes, where 33°C holds 51% implied probability and 32°C holds 37%, reflecting tight model consensus around slightly above the long-term August average of near 30–32°C. Low odds for 34°C or higher (under 6% combined) indicate limited potential for intensification from advection or subsidence, while cooler thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected cloud cover or frontal passage. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the final key input before official observations resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 6?
33°C 51%
32°C 38%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
MỚI
$10,328 KL.
MỚI
$10,328 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
38%
33°C
51%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
32°C 38%
31°C 6%
34°C 5%
MỚI
$10,328 KL.
MỚI
$10,328 KL.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$2,315 KL.
<1%
29°C
$365 KL.
<1%
30°C
$495 KL.
1%
31°C
$503 KL.
6%
32°C
$1,384 KL.
38%
33°C
$2,887 KL.
51%
34°C
$1,089 KL.
5%
35°C
$285 KL.
1%
36°C
$341 KL.
<1%
37°C
$375 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$289 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles show Ankara under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum of 32–33°C on August 6. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes, where 33°C holds 51% implied probability and 32°C holds 37%, reflecting tight model consensus around slightly above the long-term August average of near 30–32°C. Low odds for 34°C or higher (under 6% combined) indicate limited potential for intensification from advection or subsidence, while cooler thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected cloud cover or frontal passage. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the final key input before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,328Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles show Ankara under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum of 32–33°C on August 6. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes, where 33°C holds 51% implied probability and 32°C holds 37%, reflecting tight model consensus around slightly above the long-term August average of near 30–32°C. Low odds for 34°C or higher (under 6% combined) indicate limited potential for intensification from advection or subsidence, while cooler thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected cloud cover or frontal passage. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the final key input before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,328Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles show Ankara under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum of 32–33°C on August 6. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes, where 33°C holds 51% implied probability and 32°C holds 37%, reflecting tight model consensus around slightly above the long-term August average of near 30–32°C. Low odds for 34°C or higher (under 6% combined) indicate limited potential for intensification from advection or subsidence, while cooler thresholds remain improbable absent unexpected cloud cover or frontal passage. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the final key input before official observations resolve the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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