Official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara today, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 27°C under stable high pressure. Recent observations show temperatures running 2–4°C above seasonal averages amid dry conditions with minimal cloud cover, consistent with the market's strong 71.5% implied probability for 27°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with only modest upside risk to 28°C if insolation exceeds expectations or slight downside to 26°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. No significant frontal systems or moisture intrusions are expected before sunset, keeping the outcome tightly constrained.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 9?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 9?
27°C 72%
26°C 21%
28°C 8%
25°C 1.1%
$18,336 KL.
$18,336 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
21%
27°C
72%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 72%
26°C 21%
28°C 8%
25°C 1.1%
$18,336 KL.
$18,336 KL.
Sep 9, 2026
22°C or below
$232 KL.
<1%
23°C
$267 KL.
<1%
24°C
$413 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,846 KL.
1%
26°C
$5,158 KL.
21%
27°C
$4,607 KL.
72%
28°C
$3,762 KL.
8%
29°C
$981 KL.
1%
30°C
$440 KL.
<1%
31°C
$321 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$309 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara today, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 27°C under stable high pressure. Recent observations show temperatures running 2–4°C above seasonal averages amid dry conditions with minimal cloud cover, consistent with the market's strong 71.5% implied probability for 27°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with only modest upside risk to 28°C if insolation exceeds expectations or slight downside to 26°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. No significant frontal systems or moisture intrusions are expected before sunset, keeping the outcome tightly constrained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,336Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara today, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 27°C under stable high pressure. Recent observations show temperatures running 2–4°C above seasonal averages amid dry conditions with minimal cloud cover, consistent with the market's strong 71.5% implied probability for 27°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with only modest upside risk to 28°C if insolation exceeds expectations or slight downside to 26°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. No significant frontal systems or moisture intrusions are expected before sunset, keeping the outcome tightly constrained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$18,336Ngày kết thúc
Sep 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara today, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 27°C under stable high pressure. Recent observations show temperatures running 2–4°C above seasonal averages amid dry conditions with minimal cloud cover, consistent with the market's strong 71.5% implied probability for 27°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with only modest upside risk to 28°C if insolation exceeds expectations or slight downside to 26°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. No significant frontal systems or moisture intrusions are expected before sunset, keeping the outcome tightly constrained.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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