Current meteorological forecasts for Buenos Aires indicate a maximum near 16°C on August 5, driven by typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating. Official climatological data place average August highs at 15–17°C, and recent model consensus from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional aligns with this range amid stable high-pressure influence and minimal frontal activity. Trader positioning heavily favors 16°C (58.5% implied probability) over 15°C or 17°C because observed trends and short-range guidance show little deviation expected before resolution, while lower or higher outliers remain improbable without rapid atmospheric shifts. Updated model runs and official observations through the day will provide the final confirmation for market settlement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5?
16°C 59%
15°C 27%
17°C 15%
14°C 1.0%
$18,235 KL.
$18,235 KL.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
27%
16°C
59%
17°C
15%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
15°C 27%
17°C 15%
14°C 1.0%
$18,235 KL.
$18,235 KL.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
27%
16°C
59%
17°C
15%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Buenos Aires indicate a maximum near 16°C on August 5, driven by typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with moderate southerly flow and limited daytime heating. Official climatological data place average August highs at 15–17°C, and recent model consensus from agencies such as the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional aligns with this range amid stable high-pressure influence and minimal frontal activity. Trader positioning heavily favors 16°C (58.5% implied probability) over 15°C or 17°C because observed trends and short-range guidance show little deviation expected before resolution, while lower or higher outliers remain improbable without rapid atmospheric shifts. Updated model runs and official observations through the day will provide the final confirmation for market settlement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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