Current forecast models indicate a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 23–25°C for Chongqing on May 18, driven by typical late-spring conditions featuring moderate southerly flow, variable low-level moisture, and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies. This scientific uncertainty—arising from differences in model representations of cloud cover, wind shear, and the city’s complex river-valley topography—explains why trader consensus remains closely split among the leading outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Historical May averages near 27°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends and ensemble runs suggest slightly cooler realization tomorrow. Updated model guidance from regional agencies expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 18?
24°C 26%
25°C 23%
23°C 21%
26°C 9%
$13,372 KL.
$13,372 KL.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
26%
25°C
23%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 26%
25°C 23%
23°C 21%
26°C 9%
$13,372 KL.
$13,372 KL.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
26%
25°C
23%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKCurrent forecast models indicate a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 23–25°C for Chongqing on May 18, driven by typical late-spring conditions featuring moderate southerly flow, variable low-level moisture, and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies. This scientific uncertainty—arising from differences in model representations of cloud cover, wind shear, and the city’s complex river-valley topography—explains why trader consensus remains closely split among the leading outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Historical May averages near 27°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends and ensemble runs suggest slightly cooler realization tomorrow. Updated model guidance from regional agencies expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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