Latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show maximum temperatures on May 18 most likely reaching 26–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly winds are limiting daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and modest humidity levels keep readings from climbing higher. Sea surface temperatures around 26°C provide a stable baseline, and the absence of strong frontal systems reduces the chance of significant warming. Model runs continue to show minor disagreements on afternoon convective activity, sustaining uncertainty between the 26°C and 28°C outcomes ahead of final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 18?
28°C 29%
26°C 29%
27°C 28%
29°C 8%
MỚI
$16,060 KL.
MỚI
$16,060 KL.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C
8%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 29%
26°C 29%
27°C 28%
29°C 8%
MỚI
$16,060 KL.
MỚI
$16,060 KL.
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$641 KL.
<1%
22°C
$475 KL.
<1%
23°C
$12,879 KL.
<1%
24°C
$230 KL.
<1%
25°C
$718 KL.
4%
26°C
$494 KL.
27%
27°C
$105 KL.
28%
28°C
$136 KL.
29%
29°C
$187 KL.
8%
30°C
$83 KL.
7%
31°C or higher
$134 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show maximum temperatures on May 18 most likely reaching 26–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly winds are limiting daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and modest humidity levels keep readings from climbing higher. Sea surface temperatures around 26°C provide a stable baseline, and the absence of strong frontal systems reduces the chance of significant warming. Model runs continue to show minor disagreements on afternoon convective activity, sustaining uncertainty between the 26°C and 28°C outcomes ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,060Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show maximum temperatures on May 18 most likely reaching 26–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly winds are limiting daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and modest humidity levels keep readings from climbing higher. Sea surface temperatures around 26°C provide a stable baseline, and the absence of strong frontal systems reduces the chance of significant warming. Model runs continue to show minor disagreements on afternoon convective activity, sustaining uncertainty between the 26°C and 28°C outcomes ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$16,060Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show maximum temperatures on May 18 most likely reaching 26–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities. Subtropical high pressure and light southerly winds are limiting daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and modest humidity levels keep readings from climbing higher. Sea surface temperatures around 26°C provide a stable baseline, and the absence of strong frontal systems reduces the chance of significant warming. Model runs continue to show minor disagreements on afternoon convective activity, sustaining uncertainty between the 26°C and 28°C outcomes ahead of final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp