Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 63%
32°C 14.0%
34°C 14%
31°C 10.2%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
10%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
63%
35°C or higher 63%
32°C 14.0%
34°C 14%
31°C 10.2%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
26°C
$0 KL.
1%
27°C
$65 KL.
1%
28°C
$55 KL.
2%
29°C
$0 KL.
3%
30°C
$15 KL.
3%
31°C
$0 KL.
10%
32°C
$0 KL.
14%
33°C
$0 KL.
3%
34°C
$0 KL.
14%
35°C or higher
$25 KL.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$160Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$160Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp