Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C and 26°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature today, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of a maximum around 23°C amid a sharp cooling trend from yesterday's 31°C peak under weakening high pressure and incoming westerly sea breezes. This genuine uncertainty arises from model ensemble divergence—some international forecasts like those from the UK Met Office indicate 24-25°C peaks—coupled with urban heat effects at the official Tel Aviv coastal station and variable afternoon cloud cover that could limit or allow extra heating before sea breeze intensification. Historical mid-May highs average 25°C, but today's synoptic shift favors moderation, keeping 27°C+ outcomes unlikely; monitor IMS hourly updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 15?
25°C 47%
26°C 40%
27°C 9%
28°C <1%
$24,809 KL.
$24,809 KL.
May 15, 2026
25°C
47%
26°C
40%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 40%
27°C 9%
28°C <1%
$24,809 KL.
$24,809 KL.
May 15, 2026
25°C
$1,848 KL.
47%
26°C
$1,604 KL.
40%
27°C
$1,226 KL.
9%
28°C
$3,208 KL.
1%
29°C or higher
$2,652 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C and 26°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature today, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of a maximum around 23°C amid a sharp cooling trend from yesterday's 31°C peak under weakening high pressure and incoming westerly sea breezes. This genuine uncertainty arises from model ensemble divergence—some international forecasts like those from the UK Met Office indicate 24-25°C peaks—coupled with urban heat effects at the official Tel Aviv coastal station and variable afternoon cloud cover that could limit or allow extra heating before sea breeze intensification. Historical mid-May highs average 25°C, but today's synoptic shift favors moderation, keeping 27°C+ outcomes unlikely; monitor IMS hourly updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,809Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C and 26°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature today, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of a maximum around 23°C amid a sharp cooling trend from yesterday's 31°C peak under weakening high pressure and incoming westerly sea breezes. This genuine uncertainty arises from model ensemble divergence—some international forecasts like those from the UK Met Office indicate 24-25°C peaks—coupled with urban heat effects at the official Tel Aviv coastal station and variable afternoon cloud cover that could limit or allow extra heating before sea breeze intensification. Historical mid-May highs average 25°C, but today's synoptic shift favors moderation, keeping 27°C+ outcomes unlikely; monitor IMS hourly updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$24,809Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C and 26°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature today, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of a maximum around 23°C amid a sharp cooling trend from yesterday's 31°C peak under weakening high pressure and incoming westerly sea breezes. This genuine uncertainty arises from model ensemble divergence—some international forecasts like those from the UK Met Office indicate 24-25°C peaks—coupled with urban heat effects at the official Tel Aviv coastal station and variable afternoon cloud cover that could limit or allow extra heating before sea breeze intensification. Historical mid-May highs average 25°C, but today's synoptic shift favors moderation, keeping 27°C+ outcomes unlikely; monitor IMS hourly updates through late afternoon for resolution-defining observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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