Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Guangzhou’s May 19 peak temperature will most likely settle between 28°C and 30°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with variable cloud cover and patchy rain that moderates daytime heating. This scientific uncertainty drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh modest clearing against moisture influx from the pre-monsoon pattern. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs near 29–30°C at official stations like Baiyun International Airport, yet current steering flows and model spreads favor readings capped near or below that baseline, with new forecast updates expected to refine resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 19?
29°C 26%
28°C 24%
30°C 14%
31°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
May 19, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
24%
29°C
26%
30°C
14%
31°C
13%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 26%
28°C 24%
30°C 14%
31°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
May 19, 2026
25°C or below
$15 KL.
1%
26°C
$0 KL.
5%
27°C
$0 KL.
7%
28°C
$8 KL.
24%
29°C
$0 KL.
26%
30°C
$0 KL.
14%
31°C
$10 KL.
13%
32°C
$0 KL.
8%
33°C
$113 KL.
3%
34°C
$20 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$28 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Guangzhou’s May 19 peak temperature will most likely settle between 28°C and 30°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with variable cloud cover and patchy rain that moderates daytime heating. This scientific uncertainty drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh modest clearing against moisture influx from the pre-monsoon pattern. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs near 29–30°C at official stations like Baiyun International Airport, yet current steering flows and model spreads favor readings capped near or below that baseline, with new forecast updates expected to refine resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$194Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Guangzhou’s May 19 peak temperature will most likely settle between 28°C and 30°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with variable cloud cover and patchy rain that moderates daytime heating. This scientific uncertainty drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh modest clearing against moisture influx from the pre-monsoon pattern. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs near 29–30°C at official stations like Baiyun International Airport, yet current steering flows and model spreads favor readings capped near or below that baseline, with new forecast updates expected to refine resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$194Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Guangzhou’s May 19 peak temperature will most likely settle between 28°C and 30°C amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions with variable cloud cover and patchy rain that moderates daytime heating. This scientific uncertainty drives the closely matched market-implied odds, as traders weigh modest clearing against moisture influx from the pre-monsoon pattern. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs near 29–30°C at official stations like Baiyun International Airport, yet current steering flows and model spreads favor readings capped near or below that baseline, with new forecast updates expected to refine resolution criteria before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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