Recent short-range numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration project Wuhan's peak temperature on May 17 near 28°C, driven by persistent overcast skies, elevated humidity near 85 percent, and scattered thundershowers that limit solar insolation and daytime heating. Mid-May climatology for the region shows historical daily maxima averaging 26–28°C with a standard deviation of roughly 3°C, placing the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C squarely within normal variability. Southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge supplies moist air while any afternoon clearing or stronger convective activity could nudge the high slightly higher or cap it lower. Official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 30%
27°C 24%
29°C 24%
30°C 12%
$10,422 KL.
$10,422 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
24%
28°C
30%
29°C
24%
30°C
12%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 30%
27°C 24%
29°C 24%
30°C 12%
$10,422 KL.
$10,422 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
24%
28°C
30%
29°C
24%
30°C
12%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent short-range numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration project Wuhan's peak temperature on May 17 near 28°C, driven by persistent overcast skies, elevated humidity near 85 percent, and scattered thundershowers that limit solar insolation and daytime heating. Mid-May climatology for the region shows historical daily maxima averaging 26–28°C with a standard deviation of roughly 3°C, placing the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities for 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C squarely within normal variability. Southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge supplies moist air while any afternoon clearing or stronger convective activity could nudge the high slightly higher or cap it lower. Official observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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