Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirmed a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15 amid persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers linked to a low-pressure trough. This verified observation anchors the near-certain market consensus at that exact threshold, consistent with mid-May climatology where transitional monsoon influences often cap highs near or below seasonal averages of 28–29°C. New data releases are unlikely to alter resolution, though any revision to official station readings from the Observatory could theoretically shift the outcome in the final tally.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,592 KL.
$292,592 KL.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,592 KL.
$292,592 KL.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirmed a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15 amid persistent overcast skies, 83–89% relative humidity, and widespread thundery showers linked to a low-pressure trough. This verified observation anchors the near-certain market consensus at that exact threshold, consistent with mid-May climatology where transitional monsoon influences often cap highs near or below seasonal averages of 28–29°C. New data releases are unlikely to alter resolution, though any revision to official station readings from the Observatory could theoretically shift the outcome in the final tally.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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