The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25 °C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson-screen conditions at its urban stations, has produced the market's near-certain positioning on that outcome. An easterly airstream combined with a weakening trough of low pressure kept skies mostly cloudy and limited daytime heating, preventing the usual May climb toward 28–30 °C. Model consensus and post-event verification align precisely with this measurement, leaving negligible scope for alternative bins. Only an unprecedented revision to the Observatory's archived data or a redefinition of the reporting station network could alter the resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given established meteorological protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,929 KL.
$303,929 KL.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,929 KL.
$303,929 KL.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,114 KL.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 KL.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 KL.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 KL.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 KL.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 KL.
<1%
25°C
$77,401 KL.
100%
26°C
$43,033 KL.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 KL.
<1%
28°C
$25,278 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25 °C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson-screen conditions at its urban stations, has produced the market's near-certain positioning on that outcome. An easterly airstream combined with a weakening trough of low pressure kept skies mostly cloudy and limited daytime heating, preventing the usual May climb toward 28–30 °C. Model consensus and post-event verification align precisely with this measurement, leaving negligible scope for alternative bins. Only an unprecedented revision to the Observatory's archived data or a redefinition of the reporting station network could alter the resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given established meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Khối lượng
$303,929Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25 °C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson-screen conditions at its urban stations, has produced the market's near-certain positioning on that outcome. An easterly airstream combined with a weakening trough of low pressure kept skies mostly cloudy and limited daytime heating, preventing the usual May climb toward 28–30 °C. Model consensus and post-event verification align precisely with this measurement, leaving negligible scope for alternative bins. Only an unprecedented revision to the Observatory's archived data or a redefinition of the reporting station network could alter the resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given established meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$303,929Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25 °C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson-screen conditions at its urban stations, has produced the market's near-certain positioning on that outcome. An easterly airstream combined with a weakening trough of low pressure kept skies mostly cloudy and limited daytime heating, preventing the usual May climb toward 28–30 °C. Model consensus and post-event verification align precisely with this measurement, leaving negligible scope for alternative bins. Only an unprecedented revision to the Observatory's archived data or a redefinition of the reporting station network could alter the resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given established meteorological protocols.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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