Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate a high of 34°C for Manila on May 22 amid generally fair weather with only isolated afternoon showers, yet trader sentiment centers on 36–37°C as the most probable peak. This positioning reflects the ongoing warmer-than-normal conditions across Luzon during the pre-monsoon dry season, when urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila routinely add 1–3°C above regional readings. Afternoon convection and variable wind patterns can also produce short-lived spikes above model guidance, while historical May maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. With resolution hinging on the single highest official observation, the tight spread between 36°C and 37°C underscores uncertainty in the precise timing of any peak heating before evening cooling sets in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on May 22?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 22?
37°C 40%
36°C 33%
35°C 16%
38°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
May 22, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
16%
36°C
33%
37°C
40%
38°C
10%
39°C or higher
2%
37°C 40%
36°C 33%
35°C 16%
38°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
May 22, 2026
29°C or below
$128 KL.
<1%
30°C
$131 KL.
<1%
31°C
$262 KL.
<1%
32°C
$86 KL.
<1%
33°C
$1,079 KL.
3%
34°C
$1,128 KL.
3%
35°C
$169 KL.
16%
36°C
$203 KL.
33%
37°C
$271 KL.
40%
38°C
$68 KL.
10%
39°C or higher
$403 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate a high of 34°C for Manila on May 22 amid generally fair weather with only isolated afternoon showers, yet trader sentiment centers on 36–37°C as the most probable peak. This positioning reflects the ongoing warmer-than-normal conditions across Luzon during the pre-monsoon dry season, when urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila routinely add 1–3°C above regional readings. Afternoon convection and variable wind patterns can also produce short-lived spikes above model guidance, while historical May maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. With resolution hinging on the single highest official observation, the tight spread between 36°C and 37°C underscores uncertainty in the precise timing of any peak heating before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,795Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate a high of 34°C for Manila on May 22 amid generally fair weather with only isolated afternoon showers, yet trader sentiment centers on 36–37°C as the most probable peak. This positioning reflects the ongoing warmer-than-normal conditions across Luzon during the pre-monsoon dry season, when urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila routinely add 1–3°C above regional readings. Afternoon convection and variable wind patterns can also produce short-lived spikes above model guidance, while historical May maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. With resolution hinging on the single highest official observation, the tight spread between 36°C and 37°C underscores uncertainty in the precise timing of any peak heating before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,795Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 20, 2026, 12:16 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate a high of 34°C for Manila on May 22 amid generally fair weather with only isolated afternoon showers, yet trader sentiment centers on 36–37°C as the most probable peak. This positioning reflects the ongoing warmer-than-normal conditions across Luzon during the pre-monsoon dry season, when urban heat-island effects in Metro Manila routinely add 1–3°C above regional readings. Afternoon convection and variable wind patterns can also produce short-lived spikes above model guidance, while historical May maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. With resolution hinging on the single highest official observation, the tight spread between 36°C and 37°C underscores uncertainty in the precise timing of any peak heating before evening cooling sets in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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