Current forecasts for Milan on August 5 converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C amid Italy’s ongoing heatwave, with national red alerts active for extreme temperatures and models from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF showing limited spread. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, while southerly flow advects warmer air masses; the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley further elevates readings at official stations. Morning observations and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than pushing toward 38°C or higher, explaining the combined 88.5% market-implied probability for 36–37°C while leaving modest room for slight model adjustments before final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 5?
36°C 51%
37°C 38%
35°C 9%
38°C 5%
$22,105 KL.
$22,105 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
51%
37°C
38%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 51%
37°C 38%
35°C 9%
38°C 5%
$22,105 KL.
$22,105 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
33°C or below
$1,685 KL.
<1%
34°C
$2,047 KL.
1%
35°C
$3,102 KL.
9%
36°C
$2,779 KL.
51%
37°C
$7,006 KL.
38%
38°C
$2,060 KL.
5%
39°C
$1,722 KL.
1%
40°C
$689 KL.
<1%
41°C
$287 KL.
<1%
42°C
$287 KL.
<1%
43°C or higher
$443 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Milan on August 5 converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C amid Italy’s ongoing heatwave, with national red alerts active for extreme temperatures and models from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF showing limited spread. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, while southerly flow advects warmer air masses; the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley further elevates readings at official stations. Morning observations and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than pushing toward 38°C or higher, explaining the combined 88.5% market-implied probability for 36–37°C while leaving modest room for slight model adjustments before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22,105Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Milan on August 5 converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C amid Italy’s ongoing heatwave, with national red alerts active for extreme temperatures and models from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF showing limited spread. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, while southerly flow advects warmer air masses; the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley further elevates readings at official stations. Morning observations and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than pushing toward 38°C or higher, explaining the combined 88.5% market-implied probability for 36–37°C while leaving modest room for slight model adjustments before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$22,105Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Milan on August 5 converge on a daily maximum of 36–37°C amid Italy’s ongoing heatwave, with national red alerts active for extreme temperatures and models from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF showing limited spread. Persistent high-pressure ridging promotes strong daytime insolation and minimal cloud cover, while southerly flow advects warmer air masses; the urban heat island effect in the Po Valley further elevates readings at official stations. Morning observations and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than pushing toward 38°C or higher, explaining the combined 88.5% market-implied probability for 36–37°C while leaving modest room for slight model adjustments before final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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