Current high-pressure dominance and clear skies over northern Italy are supporting trader consensus around a 30–32°C peak for Milan on June 15, with those three outcomes holding over 93% combined implied probability. Ensemble guidance from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to modest daytime radiative heating under light southwesterly flow, limited Mediterranean moisture, and minimal Alpine influence, yielding afternoon maxima near 30–33°C. Slight model spread around peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing keeps the distribution centered on 31°C while climatological baselines for mid-June (typically 26–28°C) highlight the warmer-than-average pattern. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of official station resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on June 15?
31°C 44%
30°C 30%
32°C 22%
33°C 3.6%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
30%
31°C
44%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 30%
32°C 22%
33°C 3.6%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
30%
31°C
44%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current high-pressure dominance and clear skies over northern Italy are supporting trader consensus around a 30–32°C peak for Milan on June 15, with those three outcomes holding over 93% combined implied probability. Ensemble guidance from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to modest daytime radiative heating under light southwesterly flow, limited Mediterranean moisture, and minimal Alpine influence, yielding afternoon maxima near 30–33°C. Slight model spread around peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing keeps the distribution centered on 31°C while climatological baselines for mid-June (typically 26–28°C) highlight the warmer-than-average pattern. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of official station resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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