Forecast models from agencies including timeanddate and AccuWeather project a Moscow high near 28°C (83°F) on August 5, 2026, under morning clouds, light winds around 8 mph, and minimal precipitation, creating tight clustering around 27–28°C in trader-implied odds. This exceeds the long-term August average high of roughly 22°C, reflecting warmer-than-normal conditions from recent atmospheric patterns. The 27°C outcome leads at 59.5% implied probability due to uncertainty in the precise peak, with 28°C at 20.5% and 26°C at 19.5% capturing model spreads and observational variance; final resolution hinges on official station maxima by day's end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
27°C 60%
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
29°C 3%
$14,066 KL.
$14,066 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
20%
27°C
60%
28°C
21%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 60%
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
29°C 3%
$14,066 KL.
$14,066 KL.
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$1,359 KL.
<1%
24°C
$418 KL.
<1%
25°C
$631 KL.
1%
26°C
$931 KL.
20%
27°C
$1,946 KL.
60%
28°C
$1,740 KL.
21%
29°C
$1,037 KL.
3%
30°C
$265 KL.
<1%
31°C
$808 KL.
<1%
32°C
$2,953 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,978 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including timeanddate and AccuWeather project a Moscow high near 28°C (83°F) on August 5, 2026, under morning clouds, light winds around 8 mph, and minimal precipitation, creating tight clustering around 27–28°C in trader-implied odds. This exceeds the long-term August average high of roughly 22°C, reflecting warmer-than-normal conditions from recent atmospheric patterns. The 27°C outcome leads at 59.5% implied probability due to uncertainty in the precise peak, with 28°C at 20.5% and 26°C at 19.5% capturing model spreads and observational variance; final resolution hinges on official station maxima by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,066Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including timeanddate and AccuWeather project a Moscow high near 28°C (83°F) on August 5, 2026, under morning clouds, light winds around 8 mph, and minimal precipitation, creating tight clustering around 27–28°C in trader-implied odds. This exceeds the long-term August average high of roughly 22°C, reflecting warmer-than-normal conditions from recent atmospheric patterns. The 27°C outcome leads at 59.5% implied probability due to uncertainty in the precise peak, with 28°C at 20.5% and 26°C at 19.5% capturing model spreads and observational variance; final resolution hinges on official station maxima by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$14,066Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including timeanddate and AccuWeather project a Moscow high near 28°C (83°F) on August 5, 2026, under morning clouds, light winds around 8 mph, and minimal precipitation, creating tight clustering around 27–28°C in trader-implied odds. This exceeds the long-term August average high of roughly 22°C, reflecting warmer-than-normal conditions from recent atmospheric patterns. The 27°C outcome leads at 59.5% implied probability due to uncertainty in the precise peak, with 28°C at 20.5% and 26°C at 19.5% capturing model spreads and observational variance; final resolution hinges on official station maxima by day's end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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