Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate Moscow's August 6 daytime maximum will likely reach 29–30°C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. This stems from current warm advection under high pressure, combined with moderate solar insolation and light winds limiting mixing. Slight model differences in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer moisture could cap the peak at 28°C or allow brief warming to 31°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 23°C, so the ongoing heat anomaly reflects persistent southerly flow. Traders weigh ensemble spread and any late model runs before resolution against official station readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 37%
30°C 36%
28°C 13%
31°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
37%
30°C
36%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 37%
30°C 36%
28°C 13%
31°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$46 KL.
<1%
24°C
$537 KL.
<1%
25°C
$202 KL.
1%
26°C
$220 KL.
1%
27°C
$215 KL.
5%
28°C
$63 KL.
13%
29°C
$158 KL.
37%
30°C
$212 KL.
36%
31°C
$248 KL.
10%
32°C
$127 KL.
3%
33°C or higher
$56 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate Moscow's August 6 daytime maximum will likely reach 29–30°C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. This stems from current warm advection under high pressure, combined with moderate solar insolation and light winds limiting mixing. Slight model differences in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer moisture could cap the peak at 28°C or allow brief warming to 31°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 23°C, so the ongoing heat anomaly reflects persistent southerly flow. Traders weigh ensemble spread and any late model runs before resolution against official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,084Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate Moscow's August 6 daytime maximum will likely reach 29–30°C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. This stems from current warm advection under high pressure, combined with moderate solar insolation and light winds limiting mixing. Slight model differences in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer moisture could cap the peak at 28°C or allow brief warming to 31°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 23°C, so the ongoing heat anomaly reflects persistent southerly flow. Traders weigh ensemble spread and any late model runs before resolution against official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,084Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers indicate Moscow's August 6 daytime maximum will likely reach 29–30°C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. This stems from current warm advection under high pressure, combined with moderate solar insolation and light winds limiting mixing. Slight model differences in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer moisture could cap the peak at 28°C or allow brief warming to 31°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 23°C, so the ongoing heat anomaly reflects persistent southerly flow. Traders weigh ensemble spread and any late model runs before resolution against official station readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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