**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's August 6 maximum temperature centers on 28°C (52.5% implied probability) and 29°C (23%), reflecting model consensus around typical mid-summer values.** High-pressure dominance and clear skies favor radiative heating to daily peaks near 28–30°C, consistent with August climatology of 28–30°C averages under similar patterns. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs, alongside UK Met Office guidance projecting 28°C, anchor the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ (under 5% combined) indicate limited intensification potential from light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. Official Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with minimal forecast spread supporting the tight distribution around 27–29°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
28°C 53%
29°C 24%
27°C 20%
26°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
53%
29°C
24%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 53%
29°C 24%
27°C 20%
26°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$397 KL.
<1%
23°C
$429 KL.
<1%
24°C
$172 KL.
<1%
25°C
$58 KL.
1%
26°C
$106 KL.
4%
27°C
$294 KL.
20%
28°C
$772 KL.
53%
29°C
$174 KL.
24%
30°C
$72 KL.
3%
31°C
$96 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$58 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's August 6 maximum temperature centers on 28°C (52.5% implied probability) and 29°C (23%), reflecting model consensus around typical mid-summer values.** High-pressure dominance and clear skies favor radiative heating to daily peaks near 28–30°C, consistent with August climatology of 28–30°C averages under similar patterns. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs, alongside UK Met Office guidance projecting 28°C, anchor the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ (under 5% combined) indicate limited intensification potential from light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. Official Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with minimal forecast spread supporting the tight distribution around 27–29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,627Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's August 6 maximum temperature centers on 28°C (52.5% implied probability) and 29°C (23%), reflecting model consensus around typical mid-summer values.** High-pressure dominance and clear skies favor radiative heating to daily peaks near 28–30°C, consistent with August climatology of 28–30°C averages under similar patterns. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs, alongside UK Met Office guidance projecting 28°C, anchor the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ (under 5% combined) indicate limited intensification potential from light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. Official Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with minimal forecast spread supporting the tight distribution around 27–29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,627Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's August 6 maximum temperature centers on 28°C (52.5% implied probability) and 29°C (23%), reflecting model consensus around typical mid-summer values.** High-pressure dominance and clear skies favor radiative heating to daily peaks near 28–30°C, consistent with August climatology of 28–30°C averages under similar patterns. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs, alongside UK Met Office guidance projecting 28°C, anchor the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ (under 5% combined) indicate limited intensification potential from light northeasterly winds and moderate humidity. Official Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with minimal forecast spread supporting the tight distribution around 27–29°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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