Official Hong Kong Observatory observations confirmed a maximum temperature of 32°C on August 4, 2026, aligning with seasonal August norms around 31°C and recent model guidance showing typical summer conditions under subtropical high pressure. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with minimal model spread or observational uncertainty for the date. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-event quality-control revisions to the official record or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments remain rare given standardized measurement protocols. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels underscores the strength of the completed observational evidence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$239,715 KL.
$239,715 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$239,715 KL.
$239,715 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
23°C or below
$637 KL.
<1%
24°C
$987 KL.
<1%
25°C
$960 KL.
<1%
26°C
$7,989 KL.
<1%
27°C
$18,440 KL.
<1%
28°C
$21,182 KL.
<1%
29°C
$36,598 KL.
<1%
30°C
$27,225 KL.
<1%
31°C
$32,239 KL.
<1%
32°C
$42,759 KL.
100%
33°C or higher
$50,699 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory observations confirmed a maximum temperature of 32°C on August 4, 2026, aligning with seasonal August norms around 31°C and recent model guidance showing typical summer conditions under subtropical high pressure. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with minimal model spread or observational uncertainty for the date. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-event quality-control revisions to the official record or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments remain rare given standardized measurement protocols. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels underscores the strength of the completed observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$239,715Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory observations confirmed a maximum temperature of 32°C on August 4, 2026, aligning with seasonal August norms around 31°C and recent model guidance showing typical summer conditions under subtropical high pressure. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with minimal model spread or observational uncertainty for the date. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-event quality-control revisions to the official record or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments remain rare given standardized measurement protocols. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels underscores the strength of the completed observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$239,715Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory observations confirmed a maximum temperature of 32°C on August 4, 2026, aligning with seasonal August norms around 31°C and recent model guidance showing typical summer conditions under subtropical high pressure. This outcome reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with minimal model spread or observational uncertainty for the date. Scenarios that could realistically shift resolution include post-event quality-control revisions to the official record or station-specific anomalies, though such adjustments remain rare given standardized measurement protocols. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels underscores the strength of the completed observational evidence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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