Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate, BBC, and Met Office indicate a daytime high of 27–28 °C for São Paulo on August 5 under mostly sunny to scattered-cloud conditions with minimal precipitation. This aligns with Inmet’s broader outlook for slightly above-average August temperatures across southern Brazil, where clear skies and dry winter air allow greater daytime heating. Historical July peaks near 29 °C and typical climatological highs of 23–25 °C provide context, while the urban heat-island effect can add 1–2 °C locally. Market-implied odds center on 28 °C because current model consensus and observed trends favor that narrow range, with limited upside unless a stronger subsidence pattern develops before peak heating. Updated afternoon observations and any final model runs will refine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 5?
28°C 55%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
26°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
26%
28°C
55%
29°C
18%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
26°C 3%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
26%
28°C
55%
29°C
18%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate, BBC, and Met Office indicate a daytime high of 27–28 °C for São Paulo on August 5 under mostly sunny to scattered-cloud conditions with minimal precipitation. This aligns with Inmet’s broader outlook for slightly above-average August temperatures across southern Brazil, where clear skies and dry winter air allow greater daytime heating. Historical July peaks near 29 °C and typical climatological highs of 23–25 °C provide context, while the urban heat-island effect can add 1–2 °C locally. Market-implied odds center on 28 °C because current model consensus and observed trends favor that narrow range, with limited upside unless a stronger subsidence pattern develops before peak heating. Updated afternoon observations and any final model runs will refine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp