Current meteorological forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate that Seoul will reach daytime highs well above 25°C on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow bringing warmer air masses typical of mid-May climatology. This positions the 25°C-or-higher outcome at near-certainty in trader consensus, consistent with historical averages around 23–26°C for the period and recent observational trends showing minimal deviation. Model agreement remains high, with limited spread in ensemble runs. A rapid influx of cooler northerly air or unexpected cloud cover could theoretically lower readings, though such shifts appear improbable given the current atmospheric setup and short time to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 99.8%
22°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$109,220 KL.
$109,220 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
100%
25°C or higher 99.8%
22°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$109,220 KL.
$109,220 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSICurrent meteorological forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate that Seoul will reach daytime highs well above 25°C on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure system and southerly flow bringing warmer air masses typical of mid-May climatology. This positions the 25°C-or-higher outcome at near-certainty in trader consensus, consistent with historical averages around 23–26°C for the period and recent observational trends showing minimal deviation. Model agreement remains high, with limited spread in ensemble runs. A rapid influx of cooler northerly air or unexpected cloud cover could theoretically lower readings, though such shifts appear improbable given the current atmospheric setup and short time to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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