Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international services show strong consensus for a Shanghai high of 29°C on September 21, driven by partly cloudy skies, northerly winds around 7–13 km/h, and moderate humidity near 60–70%. This aligns with observed afternoon readings climbing toward that threshold under stable high-pressure influence typical for late September. Historical September maxima in the region average 28–30°C, providing climatological support. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects this tight model agreement, though minor deviations remain possible from localized convection, timing of peak insolation, or slight revisions in observational data before daily close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$63,058 KL.
$63,058 KL.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$63,058 KL.
$63,058 KL.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international services show strong consensus for a Shanghai high of 29°C on September 21, driven by partly cloudy skies, northerly winds around 7–13 km/h, and moderate humidity near 60–70%. This aligns with observed afternoon readings climbing toward that threshold under stable high-pressure influence typical for late September. Historical September maxima in the region average 28–30°C, providing climatological support. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 29°C reflects this tight model agreement, though minor deviations remain possible from localized convection, timing of peak insolation, or slight revisions in observational data before daily close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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