Recent model consensus points to thunderstorms and scattered convection on September 21 limiting insolation and peak heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum near 31–32 °C. Persistent high humidity (around 65–75 %), light southerly winds, and afternoon cloud build-up favor evaporative cooling and reduced surface warming, while any delay in storm initiation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Official guidance from regional forecasts highlights 25–70 % rain probability during daytime hours, with the exact timing of heaviest cells determining whether the high settles at 30 °C or edges higher. Traders are weighting these variables closely because small shifts in precipitation onset or intensity—common in late-summer monsoon transition patterns—can swing the recorded maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
31°C 33%
32°C 26%
33°C 22%
30°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
33%
32°C
26%
33°C
22%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 33%
32°C 26%
33°C 22%
30°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
$111 KL.
<1%
26°C
$111 KL.
<1%
27°C
$111 KL.
<1%
28°C
$425 KL.
<1%
29°C
$394 KL.
3%
30°C
$942 KL.
16%
31°C
$395 KL.
33%
32°C
$838 KL.
26%
33°C
$1,284 KL.
22%
34°C
$691 KL.
7%
35°C or higher
$438 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to thunderstorms and scattered convection on September 21 limiting insolation and peak heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum near 31–32 °C. Persistent high humidity (around 65–75 %), light southerly winds, and afternoon cloud build-up favor evaporative cooling and reduced surface warming, while any delay in storm initiation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Official guidance from regional forecasts highlights 25–70 % rain probability during daytime hours, with the exact timing of heaviest cells determining whether the high settles at 30 °C or edges higher. Traders are weighting these variables closely because small shifts in precipitation onset or intensity—common in late-summer monsoon transition patterns—can swing the recorded maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,741Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to thunderstorms and scattered convection on September 21 limiting insolation and peak heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum near 31–32 °C. Persistent high humidity (around 65–75 %), light southerly winds, and afternoon cloud build-up favor evaporative cooling and reduced surface warming, while any delay in storm initiation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Official guidance from regional forecasts highlights 25–70 % rain probability during daytime hours, with the exact timing of heaviest cells determining whether the high settles at 30 °C or edges higher. Traders are weighting these variables closely because small shifts in precipitation onset or intensity—common in late-summer monsoon transition patterns—can swing the recorded maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,741Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to thunderstorms and scattered convection on September 21 limiting insolation and peak heating in Shenzhen, keeping the daily maximum near 31–32 °C. Persistent high humidity (around 65–75 %), light southerly winds, and afternoon cloud build-up favor evaporative cooling and reduced surface warming, while any delay in storm initiation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Official guidance from regional forecasts highlights 25–70 % rain probability during daytime hours, with the exact timing of heaviest cells determining whether the high settles at 30 °C or edges higher. Traders are weighting these variables closely because small shifts in precipitation onset or intensity—common in late-summer monsoon transition patterns—can swing the recorded maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine the odds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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