**Persistent high-pressure dominance and unseasonably warm overnight conditions are positioning 78-79°F as the clear leader in the Houston lowest-temperature market for September 23.** National Weather Service and private-model guidance as of September 21 show a strong ridge maintaining clear skies and light winds, with forecast lows for the night of the 23rd clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s—most often 78-82°F. This reflects a multi-day heat wave that has kept recent observed lows in the 72-80°F range, well above the early-September climatological average near 71°F. A weak frontal boundary is expected to approach only after the 23rd, offering little relief to overnight temperatures in the immediate window. The market's heavy weighting on 78-79°F (47%) directly tracks this consensus, while the 25.5% on 90°F+ and sub-1% odds on 71°F or below correctly discount both extreme heat and any rapid cooling. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Houston on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 23?
90°F or higher 51%
78-79°F 47%
80-81°F 22%
76-77°F 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
51%
90°F or higher 51%
78-79°F 47%
80-81°F 22%
76-77°F 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
71°F or below
$100 KL.
1%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
20%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
21%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
21%
78-79°F
$16 KL.
47%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
22%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
20%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
20%
86-87°F
$100 KL.
1%
88-89°F
$100 KL.
1%
90°F or higher
$100 KL.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure dominance and unseasonably warm overnight conditions are positioning 78-79°F as the clear leader in the Houston lowest-temperature market for September 23.**
National Weather Service and private-model guidance as of September 21 show a strong ridge maintaining clear skies and light winds, with forecast lows for the night of the 23rd clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s—most often 78-82°F. This reflects a multi-day heat wave that has kept recent observed lows in the 72-80°F range, well above the early-September climatological average near 71°F. A weak frontal boundary is expected to approach only after the 23rd, offering little relief to overnight temperatures in the immediate window.
The market's heavy weighting on 78-79°F (47%) directly tracks this consensus, while the 25.5% on 90°F+ and sub-1% odds on 71°F or below correctly discount both extreme heat and any rapid cooling. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$416Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure dominance and unseasonably warm overnight conditions are positioning 78-79°F as the clear leader in the Houston lowest-temperature market for September 23.**
National Weather Service and private-model guidance as of September 21 show a strong ridge maintaining clear skies and light winds, with forecast lows for the night of the 23rd clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s—most often 78-82°F. This reflects a multi-day heat wave that has kept recent observed lows in the 72-80°F range, well above the early-September climatological average near 71°F. A weak frontal boundary is expected to approach only after the 23rd, offering little relief to overnight temperatures in the immediate window.
The market's heavy weighting on 78-79°F (47%) directly tracks this consensus, while the 25.5% on 90°F+ and sub-1% odds on 71°F or below correctly discount both extreme heat and any rapid cooling. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$416Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high-pressure dominance and unseasonably warm overnight conditions are positioning 78-79°F as the clear leader in the Houston lowest-temperature market for September 23.** National Weather Service and private-model guidance as of September 21 show a strong ridge maintaining clear skies and light winds, with forecast lows for the night of the 23rd clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s—most often 78-82°F. This reflects a multi-day heat wave that has kept recent observed lows in the 72-80°F range, well above the early-September climatological average near 71°F. A weak frontal boundary is expected to approach only after the 23rd, offering little relief to overnight temperatures in the immediate window. The market's heavy weighting on 78-79°F (47%) directly tracks this consensus, while the 25.5% on 90°F+ and sub-1% odds on 71°F or below correctly discount both extreme heat and any rapid cooling. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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