Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles project daytime highs of 32–33°C in Taipei on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting clear skies, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where average maxima reach 29–31°C but can exceed 32°C under stable high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows limited intensification beyond 33°C due to moderating sea breezes and typical humidity levels, keeping 34°C or higher at lower probability. Traders have priced these outcomes accordingly, reflecting the narrow range of expected maxima from official guidance and historical station data at Taipei Songshan Airport.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
32°C 43%
33°C 22%
31°C 18%
34°C or higher 17.0%
MỚI
$18,733 KL.
MỚI
$18,733 KL.
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
43%
33°C
22%
34°C or higher
17%
32°C 43%
33°C 22%
31°C 18%
34°C or higher 17.0%
MỚI
$18,733 KL.
MỚI
$18,733 KL.
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
$908 KL.
<1%
25°C
$879 KL.
<1%
26°C
$985 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,281 KL.
<1%
28°C
$2,017 KL.
<1%
29°C
$2,726 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,532 KL.
5%
31°C
$1,709 KL.
18%
32°C
$1,557 KL.
43%
33°C
$1,689 KL.
22%
34°C or higher
$2,451 KL.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles project daytime highs of 32–33°C in Taipei on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting clear skies, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where average maxima reach 29–31°C but can exceed 32°C under stable high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows limited intensification beyond 33°C due to moderating sea breezes and typical humidity levels, keeping 34°C or higher at lower probability. Traders have priced these outcomes accordingly, reflecting the narrow range of expected maxima from official guidance and historical station data at Taipei Songshan Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,733Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles project daytime highs of 32–33°C in Taipei on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting clear skies, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where average maxima reach 29–31°C but can exceed 32°C under stable high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows limited intensification beyond 33°C due to moderating sea breezes and typical humidity levels, keeping 34°C or higher at lower probability. Traders have priced these outcomes accordingly, reflecting the narrow range of expected maxima from official guidance and historical station data at Taipei Songshan Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$18,733Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRecent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles project daytime highs of 32–33°C in Taipei on May 18, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting clear skies, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where average maxima reach 29–31°C but can exceed 32°C under stable high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows limited intensification beyond 33°C due to moderating sea breezes and typical humidity levels, keeping 34°C or higher at lower probability. Traders have priced these outcomes accordingly, reflecting the narrow range of expected maxima from official guidance and historical station data at Taipei Songshan Airport.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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