Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 15 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on this value, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies. Current observations through midday align with this trajectory, with minimal diurnal variability expected. Realistic challenges include late-day convective cooling, station-specific measurement differences at the official Tel Aviv site, or revisions in final synoptic analysis that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Such adjustments remain low-probability given the tight model agreement and lack of disruptive weather systems.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,551 KL.
$30,551 KL.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,551 KL.
$30,551 KL.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 15 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on this value, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies. Current observations through midday align with this trajectory, with minimal diurnal variability expected. Realistic challenges include late-day convective cooling, station-specific measurement differences at the official Tel Aviv site, or revisions in final synoptic analysis that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Such adjustments remain low-probability given the tight model agreement and lack of disruptive weather systems.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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