Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a daytime maximum near 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow off the Mediterranean Sea that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. Ensemble spreads among ECMWF and GFS runs show modest uncertainty, with 30–31°C outcomes favored because sea-surface temperatures around 22°C moderate extreme warming while minimal wind shear supports efficient boundary-layer mixing. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects the narrow range of plausible peak values given current atmospheric conditions, with small shifts in forecast timing or local sea-breeze development able to tip the highest temperature across those thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
31°C 38.0%
32°C or higher 33.6%
30°C 31%
29°C <1%
MỚI
$23,931 KL.
MỚI
$23,931 KL.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
31%
31°C
38%
32°C or higher
34%
31°C 38.0%
32°C or higher 33.6%
30°C 31%
29°C <1%
MỚI
$23,931 KL.
MỚI
$23,931 KL.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$983 KL.
<1%
23°C
$695 KL.
<1%
24°C
$812 KL.
<1%
25°C
$866 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,540 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,764 KL.
<1%
28°C
$4,579 KL.
<1%
29°C
$5,942 KL.
1%
30°C
$1,892 KL.
31%
31°C
$2,412 KL.
38%
32°C or higher
$1,446 KL.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a daytime maximum near 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow off the Mediterranean Sea that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. Ensemble spreads among ECMWF and GFS runs show modest uncertainty, with 30–31°C outcomes favored because sea-surface temperatures around 22°C moderate extreme warming while minimal wind shear supports efficient boundary-layer mixing. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects the narrow range of plausible peak values given current atmospheric conditions, with small shifts in forecast timing or local sea-breeze development able to tip the highest temperature across those thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,931Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a daytime maximum near 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow off the Mediterranean Sea that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. Ensemble spreads among ECMWF and GFS runs show modest uncertainty, with 30–31°C outcomes favored because sea-surface temperatures around 22°C moderate extreme warming while minimal wind shear supports efficient boundary-layer mixing. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects the narrow range of plausible peak values given current atmospheric conditions, with small shifts in forecast timing or local sea-breeze development able to tip the highest temperature across those thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$23,931Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a daytime maximum near 30–31°C in Tel Aviv on May 18, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light northerly flow off the Mediterranean Sea that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. Ensemble spreads among ECMWF and GFS runs show modest uncertainty, with 30–31°C outcomes favored because sea-surface temperatures around 22°C moderate extreme warming while minimal wind shear supports efficient boundary-layer mixing. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects the narrow range of plausible peak values given current atmospheric conditions, with small shifts in forecast timing or local sea-breeze development able to tip the highest temperature across those thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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