Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 16, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a frontal system that brings increased cloud cover and a 25–40% chance of light showers. These conditions align with early-spring climatology for the region, where average September maxima reach about 15°C, limiting strong warming despite the northerly winds. Trader consensus favors 15°C as the most likely peak under current guidance, with 16°C remaining plausible only if clearer skies allow greater insolation; lower outcomes like 14°C gain traction if showers arrive earlier or winds shift. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 16?
15°C 62%
16°C 22%
13°C 15%
14°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
15%
14°C
13%
15°C
62%
16°C
22%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 62%
16°C 22%
13°C 15%
14°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
9°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
10°C
$0 KL.
1%
11°C
$5 KL.
2%
12°C
$0 KL.
3%
13°C
$0 KL.
15%
14°C
$27 KL.
13%
15°C
$146 KL.
62%
16°C
$0 KL.
22%
17°C
$5 KL.
9%
18°C
$0 KL.
2%
19°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 16, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a frontal system that brings increased cloud cover and a 25–40% chance of light showers. These conditions align with early-spring climatology for the region, where average September maxima reach about 15°C, limiting strong warming despite the northerly winds. Trader consensus favors 15°C as the most likely peak under current guidance, with 16°C remaining plausible only if clearer skies allow greater insolation; lower outcomes like 14°C gain traction if showers arrive earlier or winds shift. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$183Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 16, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a frontal system that brings increased cloud cover and a 25–40% chance of light showers. These conditions align with early-spring climatology for the region, where average September maxima reach about 15°C, limiting strong warming despite the northerly winds. Trader consensus favors 15°C as the most likely peak under current guidance, with 16°C remaining plausible only if clearer skies allow greater insolation; lower outcomes like 14°C gain traction if showers arrive earlier or winds shift. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$183Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from MetService and international agencies indicate a high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 16, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a frontal system that brings increased cloud cover and a 25–40% chance of light showers. These conditions align with early-spring climatology for the region, where average September maxima reach about 15°C, limiting strong warming despite the northerly winds. Trader consensus favors 15°C as the most likely peak under current guidance, with 16°C remaining plausible only if clearer skies allow greater insolation; lower outcomes like 14°C gain traction if showers arrive earlier or winds shift. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp