Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies positions Zhengzhou's August 16 maximum near or above 32°C, driven by typical midsummer conditions including strong solar insolation, light southerly or variable winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit surface heating despite scattered thundery showers. Model runs show limited precipitation impact during peak daytime hours, consistent with regional climatology where August averages hover around 31°C. This alignment of observational trends and short-range guidance underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C or higher at 71%, while the 21% on exactly 31°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential convective cooling or minor forecast shifts ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 16?
32°C or higher 71%
31°C 22%
30°C 20%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
71%
32°C or higher 71%
31°C 22%
30°C 20%
29°C 19%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
6%
29°C
19%
30°C
20%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies positions Zhengzhou's August 16 maximum near or above 32°C, driven by typical midsummer conditions including strong solar insolation, light southerly or variable winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit surface heating despite scattered thundery showers. Model runs show limited precipitation impact during peak daytime hours, consistent with regional climatology where August averages hover around 31°C. This alignment of observational trends and short-range guidance underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C or higher at 71%, while the 21% on exactly 31°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential convective cooling or minor forecast shifts ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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