Recent forecast data from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and light rain or showers over Zhengzhou on September 21, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 23–25 °C. Official guidance highlights northerly flow, high humidity above 70 %, and precipitation probabilities of 50–77 % during peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below the late-September climatological average of roughly 26 °C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C or below at 49 % implied probability, with 23–27 °C bands each near 20 %. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing represent the key near-term variables that could alter resolution odds before markets close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 21?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 21?
22°C or below 98%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
23°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
98%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
37%
27°C
37%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 98%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
23°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
98%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
40%
25°C
$0 KL.
40%
26°C
$0 KL.
37%
27°C
$0 KL.
37%
28°C
$0 KL.
15%
29°C
$0 KL.
4%
30°C
$0 KL.
4%
31°C
$0 KL.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and light rain or showers over Zhengzhou on September 21, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 23–25 °C. Official guidance highlights northerly flow, high humidity above 70 %, and precipitation probabilities of 50–77 % during peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below the late-September climatological average of roughly 26 °C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C or below at 49 % implied probability, with 23–27 °C bands each near 20 %. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing represent the key near-term variables that could alter resolution odds before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and light rain or showers over Zhengzhou on September 21, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 23–25 °C. Official guidance highlights northerly flow, high humidity above 70 %, and precipitation probabilities of 50–77 % during peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below the late-September climatological average of roughly 26 °C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C or below at 49 % implied probability, with 23–27 °C bands each near 20 %. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing represent the key near-term variables that could alter resolution odds before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast data from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover and light rain or showers over Zhengzhou on September 21, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima near 23–25 °C. Official guidance highlights northerly flow, high humidity above 70 %, and precipitation probabilities of 50–77 % during peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below the late-September climatological average of roughly 26 °C. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C or below at 49 % implied probability, with 23–27 °C bands each near 20 %. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing represent the key near-term variables that could alter resolution odds before markets close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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