In Iowa's 1st Congressional District, a competitive swing seat covering eastern Iowa including Iowa City and Davenport, trader sentiment favors the Democratic nominee due to the ongoing rematch between former state representative Christina Bohannan and incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks. Bohannan, who lost by under 800 votes in 2024, secured her party's nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary and benefits from strong name recognition, recent polling leads averaging around 3 points, and inclusion in national Democratic recruitment programs. Miller-Meeks won her primary comfortably but faces headwinds in a district rated toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, where midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns could shift margins. This positioning underpins the 73% implied probability for Democrats in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
73%
Republican Party
28%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,630 KL.
73%
Republican Party
$2,390 KL.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa's 1st Congressional District, a competitive swing seat covering eastern Iowa including Iowa City and Davenport, trader sentiment favors the Democratic nominee due to the ongoing rematch between former state representative Christina Bohannan and incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks. Bohannan, who lost by under 800 votes in 2024, secured her party's nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary and benefits from strong name recognition, recent polling leads averaging around 3 points, and inclusion in national Democratic recruitment programs. Miller-Meeks won her primary comfortably but faces headwinds in a district rated toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, where midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns could shift margins. This positioning underpins the 73% implied probability for Democrats in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,020Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa's 1st Congressional District, a competitive swing seat covering eastern Iowa including Iowa City and Davenport, trader sentiment favors the Democratic nominee due to the ongoing rematch between former state representative Christina Bohannan and incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks. Bohannan, who lost by under 800 votes in 2024, secured her party's nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary and benefits from strong name recognition, recent polling leads averaging around 3 points, and inclusion in national Democratic recruitment programs. Miller-Meeks won her primary comfortably but faces headwinds in a district rated toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, where midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns could shift margins. This positioning underpins the 73% implied probability for Democrats in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$5,020Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Iowa's 1st Congressional District, a competitive swing seat covering eastern Iowa including Iowa City and Davenport, trader sentiment favors the Democratic nominee due to the ongoing rematch between former state representative Christina Bohannan and incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks. Bohannan, who lost by under 800 votes in 2024, secured her party's nomination decisively in the June 2026 primary and benefits from strong name recognition, recent polling leads averaging around 3 points, and inclusion in national Democratic recruitment programs. Miller-Meeks won her primary comfortably but faces headwinds in a district rated toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, where midterm dynamics and voter turnout patterns could shift margins. This positioning underpins the 73% implied probability for Democrats in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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