Kroger’s Q2 2026 results, released September 11 before the open, delivered the decisive catalyst behind the 100% market-implied probability. Adjusted EPS of $1.09 exceeded the consensus range of $1.05–$1.06, while revenue of $34.62 billion topped estimates near $34.53–$34.58 billion. Operating profit rose to $971 million, supported by e-commerce growth, pharmacy mix, sourcing gains, and a lower LIFO charge, even as identical sales without fuel slowed to 0.2%. Full-year EPS guidance of $5.10–$5.30 was reaffirmed. With actual results confirming the beat, trader consensus reflects near-certainty; the only realistic tail risks would involve an unforeseen restatement or regulatory adjustment, both of which carry negligible probability at this stage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,555 KL.
$1,555 KL.
$1,555 KL.
$1,555 KL.
If Kroger releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://seekingalpha.com/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
If Kroger releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://seekingalpha.com/Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Kroger’s Q2 2026 results, released September 11 before the open, delivered the decisive catalyst behind the 100% market-implied probability. Adjusted EPS of $1.09 exceeded the consensus range of $1.05–$1.06, while revenue of $34.62 billion topped estimates near $34.53–$34.58 billion. Operating profit rose to $971 million, supported by e-commerce growth, pharmacy mix, sourcing gains, and a lower LIFO charge, even as identical sales without fuel slowed to 0.2%. Full-year EPS guidance of $5.10–$5.30 was reaffirmed. With actual results confirming the beat, trader consensus reflects near-certainty; the only realistic tail risks would involve an unforeseen restatement or regulatory adjustment, both of which carry negligible probability at this stage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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