**Trader consensus at 100% on 12°C or below for Ankara's September 12 low reflects official observations confirming the minimum has already reached or dropped below that threshold.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 30–32°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Model guidance had projected overnight lows around 14–16°C, yet actual station data showed further cooling to the 12°C mark or lower. With the calendar day concluding and no additional data releases expected, market-implied odds align directly with verified meteorological records rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies, though these are improbable given multiple confirming sources.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 12?
12°C or below 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$1,471 KL.
$1,471 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$1,471 KL.
$1,471 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
$45 KL.
100%
13°C
$45 KL.
<1%
14°C
$126 KL.
<1%
15°C
$442 KL.
<1%
16°C
$523 KL.
<1%
17°C
$185 KL.
<1%
18°C
$15 KL.
<1%
19°C
$15 KL.
<1%
20°C
$15 KL.
<1%
21°C
$45 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$15 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 12°C or below for Ankara's September 12 low reflects official observations confirming the minimum has already reached or dropped below that threshold.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 30–32°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Model guidance had projected overnight lows around 14–16°C, yet actual station data showed further cooling to the 12°C mark or lower. With the calendar day concluding and no additional data releases expected, market-implied odds align directly with verified meteorological records rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies, though these are improbable given multiple confirming sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,471Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 12°C or below for Ankara's September 12 low reflects official observations confirming the minimum has already reached or dropped below that threshold.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 30–32°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Model guidance had projected overnight lows around 14–16°C, yet actual station data showed further cooling to the 12°C mark or lower. With the calendar day concluding and no additional data releases expected, market-implied odds align directly with verified meteorological records rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies, though these are improbable given multiple confirming sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,471Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% on 12°C or below for Ankara's September 12 low reflects official observations confirming the minimum has already reached or dropped below that threshold.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 30–32°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Model guidance had projected overnight lows around 14–16°C, yet actual station data showed further cooling to the 12°C mark or lower. With the calendar day concluding and no additional data releases expected, market-implied odds align directly with verified meteorological records rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies, though these are improbable given multiple confirming sources.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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