Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 21, 2026, show a daily minimum temperature likely near 20–22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate to heavy rainfall associated with a shear line and low-level jet. These conditions limit daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low aligned with the September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Model consensus across sources supports this range, though small variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds nearly even between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes, traders appear to weigh the potential for localized cooling pockets against the broader stabilizing influence of the rain event. Updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 21?
26°C or higher 87%
16°C or below 86%
21°C 51%
20°C 39%
16°C or below
86%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
35%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C or higher
87%
26°C or higher 87%
16°C or below 86%
21°C 51%
20°C 39%
16°C or below
86%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
35%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 21, 2026, show a daily minimum temperature likely near 20–22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate to heavy rainfall associated with a shear line and low-level jet. These conditions limit daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low aligned with the September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Model consensus across sources supports this range, though small variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds nearly even between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes, traders appear to weigh the potential for localized cooling pockets against the broader stabilizing influence of the rain event. Updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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