Recent forecasts from numerical weather models highlight persistent warm, humid air masses over Guangzhou with light winds and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum near 27–28°C rather than the seasonal average of 23.8°C. High dew points around 24–25°C and urban heat retention further suppress temperature drops, while any scattered showers add uncertainty to the exact low. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–28°C outcomes because model runs diverge modestly on steering patterns and timing, creating genuine forecast spread without strong signals for cooler 21°C readings or warmer extremes. Updated guidance later today from regional meteorological centers could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 20?
21°C or below 90%
28°C 53%
26°C 47%
25°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
21°C or below
90%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
20%
26°C
47%
27°C
47%
28°C
53%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 90%
28°C 53%
26°C 47%
25°C 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
90%
22°C
$0 KL.
2%
23°C
$0 KL.
2%
24°C
$0 KL.
10%
25°C
$15 KL.
20%
26°C
$46 KL.
47%
27°C
$41 KL.
47%
28°C
$88 KL.
53%
29°C
$31 KL.
<1%
30°C
$16 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$25 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models highlight persistent warm, humid air masses over Guangzhou with light winds and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum near 27–28°C rather than the seasonal average of 23.8°C. High dew points around 24–25°C and urban heat retention further suppress temperature drops, while any scattered showers add uncertainty to the exact low. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–28°C outcomes because model runs diverge modestly on steering patterns and timing, creating genuine forecast spread without strong signals for cooler 21°C readings or warmer extremes. Updated guidance later today from regional meteorological centers could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$262Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models highlight persistent warm, humid air masses over Guangzhou with light winds and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum near 27–28°C rather than the seasonal average of 23.8°C. High dew points around 24–25°C and urban heat retention further suppress temperature drops, while any scattered showers add uncertainty to the exact low. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–28°C outcomes because model runs diverge modestly on steering patterns and timing, creating genuine forecast spread without strong signals for cooler 21°C readings or warmer extremes. Updated guidance later today from regional meteorological centers could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$262Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from numerical weather models highlight persistent warm, humid air masses over Guangzhou with light winds and partial cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight, keeping the daily minimum near 27–28°C rather than the seasonal average of 23.8°C. High dew points around 24–25°C and urban heat retention further suppress temperature drops, while any scattered showers add uncertainty to the exact low. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–28°C outcomes because model runs diverge modestly on steering patterns and timing, creating genuine forecast spread without strong signals for cooler 21°C readings or warmer extremes. Updated guidance later today from regional meteorological centers could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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