**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and Weather Atlas converge on overnight lows of 29–30°C for Jeddah on September 13, driven by the city's Red Sea coastal setting that maintains high humidity and limits radiative cooling.** Light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure are expected to produce only modest diurnal temperature drops from daytime highs near 36–37°C. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where minimum temperatures rarely fall below 28°C without stronger advection or clearer skies. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C (49.5%) and 30°C (30%) reflect trader assessment of this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler thresholds that would require atypical cooling. Updated model runs and any last-minute wind shifts could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 13?
31°C 50%
30°C 30%
35°C or higher 26%
25°C or below 24%
25°C or below
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
15%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
50%
32°C
18%
33°C
24%
34°C
24%
35°C or higher
26%
31°C 50%
30°C 30%
35°C or higher 26%
25°C or below 24%
25°C or below
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
15%
29°C
16%
30°C
30%
31°C
50%
32°C
18%
33°C
24%
34°C
24%
35°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and Weather Atlas converge on overnight lows of 29–30°C for Jeddah on September 13, driven by the city's Red Sea coastal setting that maintains high humidity and limits radiative cooling.** Light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure are expected to produce only modest diurnal temperature drops from daytime highs near 36–37°C. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where minimum temperatures rarely fall below 28°C without stronger advection or clearer skies. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C (49.5%) and 30°C (30%) reflect trader assessment of this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler thresholds that would require atypical cooling. Updated model runs and any last-minute wind shifts could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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