Recent forecasts from regional models show nighttime lows in Jeddah around 29–32°C for September 15 amid persistent high pressure and light Red Sea sea breezes that moderate diurnal cooling in this coastal desert climate. Historical September averages place typical minima near 28–29°C, yet current stable conditions with low cloud cover and minimal moisture advection allow for greater radiative cooling potential overnight, underpinning the 50% market-implied odds on 26°C or below. High humidity near 60% and light winds limit further drops, while any shift in steering patterns could raise the floor toward 27–30°C ranges favored at roughly 19.5% each. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 15?
26°C or below 98%
31°C 45%
34°C 39%
35°C 39%
26°C or below
98%
27°C
38%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
20%
31°C
26%
32°C
21%
33°C
20%
34°C
39%
35°C
39%
36°C or higher
1%
26°C or below 98%
31°C 45%
34°C 39%
35°C 39%
26°C or below
98%
27°C
38%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
20%
31°C
26%
32°C
21%
33°C
20%
34°C
39%
35°C
39%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models show nighttime lows in Jeddah around 29–32°C for September 15 amid persistent high pressure and light Red Sea sea breezes that moderate diurnal cooling in this coastal desert climate. Historical September averages place typical minima near 28–29°C, yet current stable conditions with low cloud cover and minimal moisture advection allow for greater radiative cooling potential overnight, underpinning the 50% market-implied odds on 26°C or below. High humidity near 60% and light winds limit further drops, while any shift in steering patterns could raise the floor toward 27–30°C ranges favored at roughly 19.5% each. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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