Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 14?
Lowest temperature in London on August 14?
22°C 52%
21°C 29%
23°C 14%
20°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
29%
22°C
52%
23°C
14%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 52%
21°C 29%
23°C 14%
20°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$586 KL.
1%
17°C
$90 KL.
<1%
18°C
$200 KL.
1%
19°C
$98 KL.
2%
20°C
$404 KL.
5%
21°C
$745 KL.
29%
22°C
$2,393 KL.
52%
23°C
$491 KL.
14%
24°C
$117 KL.
2%
25°C
$131 KL.
1%
26°C or higher
$316 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,571Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,571Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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