Trader sentiment centers on model consensus for an elevated overnight minimum near 21–22°C amid an ongoing heatwave across southern England, with the Met Office forecasting a 33°C daytime maximum and 20°C nighttime low for London on August 14 under clear, high-pressure conditions. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show limited nocturnal cooling due to residual heat and light winds, pushing implied probabilities toward the upper end of typical August lows (historical average near 14–16°C). Short-term forecast updates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key variables that could alter resolution, which hinges on the official recorded minimum at the designated London station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on August 14?
Lowest temperature in London on August 14?
22°C 51%
21°C 29%
23°C 12%
20°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
29%
22°C
51%
23°C
12%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 51%
21°C 29%
23°C 12%
20°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$586 KL.
1%
17°C
$90 KL.
<1%
18°C
$200 KL.
1%
19°C
$98 KL.
2%
20°C
$404 KL.
5%
21°C
$745 KL.
29%
22°C
$2,413 KL.
51%
23°C
$491 KL.
12%
24°C
$357 KL.
<1%
25°C
$261 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$316 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on model consensus for an elevated overnight minimum near 21–22°C amid an ongoing heatwave across southern England, with the Met Office forecasting a 33°C daytime maximum and 20°C nighttime low for London on August 14 under clear, high-pressure conditions. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show limited nocturnal cooling due to residual heat and light winds, pushing implied probabilities toward the upper end of typical August lows (historical average near 14–16°C). Short-term forecast updates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key variables that could alter resolution, which hinges on the official recorded minimum at the designated London station.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,961Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on model consensus for an elevated overnight minimum near 21–22°C amid an ongoing heatwave across southern England, with the Met Office forecasting a 33°C daytime maximum and 20°C nighttime low for London on August 14 under clear, high-pressure conditions. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show limited nocturnal cooling due to residual heat and light winds, pushing implied probabilities toward the upper end of typical August lows (historical average near 14–16°C). Short-term forecast updates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key variables that could alter resolution, which hinges on the official recorded minimum at the designated London station.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,961Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on model consensus for an elevated overnight minimum near 21–22°C amid an ongoing heatwave across southern England, with the Met Office forecasting a 33°C daytime maximum and 20°C nighttime low for London on August 14 under clear, high-pressure conditions. Recent observational trends and ensemble runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show limited nocturnal cooling due to residual heat and light winds, pushing implied probabilities toward the upper end of typical August lows (historical average near 14–16°C). Short-term forecast updates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns remain the key variables that could alter resolution, which hinges on the official recorded minimum at the designated London station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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