**Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and aligned models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 16, supporting the market's leading 47% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity levels above 80%, and overnight cloud cover have kept recent overnight lows 1–2°C above the September climatological average of roughly 25°C, with similar conditions expected to limit radiative cooling tomorrow. Scattered thundershowers and light rain potential may further moderate temperature drops without driving extremes. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance heavily while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts in this region.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 16?
20°C or below 76%
30°C or higher 76%
26°C 44%
22°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
76%
21°C
14%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
23%
26°C
38%
27°C
24%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
76%
20°C or below 76%
30°C or higher 76%
26°C 44%
22°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$0 KL.
76%
21°C
$0 KL.
14%
22°C
$0 KL.
39%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
39%
25°C
$0 KL.
23%
26°C
$44 KL.
38%
27°C
$0 KL.
24%
28°C
$0 KL.
39%
29°C
$0 KL.
39%
30°C or higher
$0 KL.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and aligned models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 16, supporting the market's leading 47% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity levels above 80%, and overnight cloud cover have kept recent overnight lows 1–2°C above the September climatological average of roughly 25°C, with similar conditions expected to limit radiative cooling tomorrow. Scattered thundershowers and light rain potential may further moderate temperature drops without driving extremes. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance heavily while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts in this region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$44Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and aligned models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 16, supporting the market's leading 47% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity levels above 80%, and overnight cloud cover have kept recent overnight lows 1–2°C above the September climatological average of roughly 25°C, with similar conditions expected to limit radiative cooling tomorrow. Scattered thundershowers and light rain potential may further moderate temperature drops without driving extremes. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance heavily while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts in this region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$44Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and aligned models indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Lucknow on September 16, supporting the market's leading 47% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Persistent monsoon moisture, elevated humidity levels above 80%, and overnight cloud cover have kept recent overnight lows 1–2°C above the September climatological average of roughly 25°C, with similar conditions expected to limit radiative cooling tomorrow. Scattered thundershowers and light rain potential may further moderate temperature drops without driving extremes. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus guidance heavily while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts in this region.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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