**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources position the overnight low in Tel Aviv on September 13, 2026, in the 23–26°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 24–26°C.** Stable high-pressure conditions and light northwesterly winds are promoting typical radiative cooling under partly clear skies after daytime highs near 31–32°C. Hourly model outputs show the daily minimum occurring around dawn (roughly 05:00–07:00 local time), with temperatures bottoming near 23–25°C before daytime warming resumes. This pattern matches Tel Aviv’s Mediterranean September climatology, where coastal moderation and urban effects limit extreme overnight drops. Model consensus across sources shows low uncertainty for extremes below 22°C or above 27°C, supporting the heavy weighting on the 24–26°C outcomes as the most probable resolution criteria. Updated model runs closer to the date could refine exact timing or local microclimate adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
25°C 40%
26°C 31%
21°C or below 24%
24°C 22%
21°C or below
24%
22°C
9%
23°C
11%
24°C
22%
25°C
38%
26°C
31%
27°C
19%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
16%
25°C 40%
26°C 31%
21°C or below 24%
24°C 22%
21°C or below
24%
22°C
9%
23°C
11%
24°C
22%
25°C
38%
26°C
31%
27°C
19%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources position the overnight low in Tel Aviv on September 13, 2026, in the 23–26°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 24–26°C.** Stable high-pressure conditions and light northwesterly winds are promoting typical radiative cooling under partly clear skies after daytime highs near 31–32°C. Hourly model outputs show the daily minimum occurring around dawn (roughly 05:00–07:00 local time), with temperatures bottoming near 23–25°C before daytime warming resumes. This pattern matches Tel Aviv’s Mediterranean September climatology, where coastal moderation and urban effects limit extreme overnight drops. Model consensus across sources shows low uncertainty for extremes below 22°C or above 27°C, supporting the heavy weighting on the 24–26°C outcomes as the most probable resolution criteria. Updated model runs closer to the date could refine exact timing or local microclimate adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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