Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS data, point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light variable winds as the main driver keeping Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature near 23–24 °C on September 14. Stable high pressure and dew points in the low 20s °C limit further cooling, while typical late-summer humidity levels of 80–90 % and minimal cloud cover produce the narrow range of outcomes reflected in current market-implied odds. Slight model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction explain the near-even split between 23 °C and 24 °C probabilities, with historical September minima averaging close to 23 °C providing additional context. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance will refine the overnight low ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14?
19°C or below 42%
29°C or higher 42%
24°C 40%
23°C 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
42%
20°C
16%
21°C
25%
22°C
14%
23°C
37%
24°C
36%
25°C
28%
26°C
24%
27°C
17%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
42%
19°C or below 42%
29°C or higher 42%
24°C 40%
23°C 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
$0 KL.
42%
20°C
$0 KL.
16%
21°C
$0 KL.
25%
22°C
$0 KL.
14%
23°C
$0 KL.
37%
24°C
$5 KL.
36%
25°C
$0 KL.
28%
26°C
$0 KL.
24%
27°C
$0 KL.
17%
28°C
$0 KL.
13%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS data, point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light variable winds as the main driver keeping Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature near 23–24 °C on September 14. Stable high pressure and dew points in the low 20s °C limit further cooling, while typical late-summer humidity levels of 80–90 % and minimal cloud cover produce the narrow range of outcomes reflected in current market-implied odds. Slight model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction explain the near-even split between 23 °C and 24 °C probabilities, with historical September minima averaging close to 23 °C providing additional context. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance will refine the overnight low ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS data, point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light variable winds as the main driver keeping Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature near 23–24 °C on September 14. Stable high pressure and dew points in the low 20s °C limit further cooling, while typical late-summer humidity levels of 80–90 % and minimal cloud cover produce the narrow range of outcomes reflected in current market-implied odds. Slight model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction explain the near-even split between 23 °C and 24 °C probabilities, with historical September minima averaging close to 23 °C providing additional context. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance will refine the overnight low ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS data, point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light variable winds as the main driver keeping Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature near 23–24 °C on September 14. Stable high pressure and dew points in the low 20s °C limit further cooling, while typical late-summer humidity levels of 80–90 % and minimal cloud cover produce the narrow range of outcomes reflected in current market-implied odds. Slight model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction explain the near-even split between 23 °C and 24 °C probabilities, with historical September minima averaging close to 23 °C providing additional context. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance will refine the overnight low ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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