Current model consensus from sources like GFS and local Israeli forecasts points to overnight lows near 25°C on September 4 under stable high pressure and light winds, with minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling but moderated by coastal humidity and sea breezes. Historical September minima in Tel Aviv average 21–23°C and rarely fall below 20°C, while extremes above 28°C are uncommon without unusual heat advection. The near-even market odds between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small model spreads in boundary-layer temperatures and potential microscale variations, with resolution hinging on official Israel Meteorological Service observations at the primary station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
20°C or below 84%
22°C 84%
23°C 84%
30°C or higher 84%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
84%
21°C
83%
22°C
84%
23°C
84%
24°C
54%
25°C
83%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
84%
20°C or below 84%
22°C 84%
23°C 84%
30°C or higher 84%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
$0 KL.
84%
21°C
$0 KL.
83%
22°C
$0 KL.
84%
23°C
$0 KL.
84%
24°C
$0 KL.
54%
25°C
$0 KL.
83%
26°C
$12 KL.
8%
27°C
$12 KL.
8%
28°C
$34 KL.
8%
29°C
$0 KL.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 KL.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources like GFS and local Israeli forecasts points to overnight lows near 25°C on September 4 under stable high pressure and light winds, with minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling but moderated by coastal humidity and sea breezes. Historical September minima in Tel Aviv average 21–23°C and rarely fall below 20°C, while extremes above 28°C are uncommon without unusual heat advection. The near-even market odds between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small model spreads in boundary-layer temperatures and potential microscale variations, with resolution hinging on official Israel Meteorological Service observations at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$58Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources like GFS and local Israeli forecasts points to overnight lows near 25°C on September 4 under stable high pressure and light winds, with minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling but moderated by coastal humidity and sea breezes. Historical September minima in Tel Aviv average 21–23°C and rarely fall below 20°C, while extremes above 28°C are uncommon without unusual heat advection. The near-even market odds between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small model spreads in boundary-layer temperatures and potential microscale variations, with resolution hinging on official Israel Meteorological Service observations at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$58Ngày kết thúc
Sep 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources like GFS and local Israeli forecasts points to overnight lows near 25°C on September 4 under stable high pressure and light winds, with minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling but moderated by coastal humidity and sea breezes. Historical September minima in Tel Aviv average 21–23°C and rarely fall below 20°C, while extremes above 28°C are uncommon without unusual heat advection. The near-even market odds between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the precise minimum, driven by small model spreads in boundary-layer temperatures and potential microscale variations, with resolution hinging on official Israel Meteorological Service observations at the primary station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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