Maryland's 8th congressional district features a longstanding Democratic advantage rooted in its affluent, highly educated suburban profile near Washington, D.C., with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 92 percent of the vote against minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley advanced from a contested primary. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter coalitions. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment could theoretically narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$26,547 KL.
$26,547 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$26,547 KL.
$26,547 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,067 KL.
97%
Republican Party
$8,480 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district features a longstanding Democratic advantage rooted in its affluent, highly educated suburban profile near Washington, D.C., with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 92 percent of the vote against minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley advanced from a contested primary. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter coalitions. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment could theoretically narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,547Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district features a longstanding Democratic advantage rooted in its affluent, highly educated suburban profile near Washington, D.C., with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 92 percent of the vote against minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley advanced from a contested primary. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter coalitions. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment could theoretically narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$26,547Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 8th congressional district features a longstanding Democratic advantage rooted in its affluent, highly educated suburban profile near Washington, D.C., with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 92 percent of the vote against minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley advanced from a contested primary. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter coalitions. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political realignment could theoretically narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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